Reconciling estimates of global spread and infection fatality rates of COVID‐19: an overview of systematic evaluations / Conciliare le stime dei tassi globali di diffusione e mortalità per infezione da COVID‐19: una panoramica delle valutazioni sistematiche, di John P. A. Ioannidis, pubblicato su "European journal of clinical investigation" il 26 marzo 2021, è scaricabile QUI.
"ABSTRACT
Background
Estimates of community spread and infection fatality rate (IFR) of COVID‐19 have varied across studies. Efforts to synthesize the evidence reach seemingly discrepant conclusions.
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Conclusions
All systematic evaluations of seroprevalence data converge that SARS‐CoV‐2 infection is widely spread globally. Acknowledging residual uncertainties, the available evidence suggests average global IFR of ~0.15% and ~1.5‐2.0 billion infections by February 2021 with substantial differences in IFR and in infection spread across continents, countries, and locations."
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